Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.117421 0.130898 0.144691 0.159826 0.175928 0.192509 0.210837
2024-10-27 0.098745 0.117072 0.136523 0.158579 0.182767 0.208371 0.237404
2024-11-03 0.086367 0.108195 0.132111 0.159992 0.191338 0.225248 0.264463
2024-11-10 0.077923 0.102674 0.130583 0.163913 0.202182 0.244333 0.293859
2024-11-17 0.068582 0.095182 0.126056 0.163808 0.208034 0.257572 0.316630
2024-11-24 0.062357 0.090780 0.124641 0.166916 0.217302 0.274542 0.343610
2024-12-01 0.056055 0.085692 0.121939 0.168123 0.224083 0.288507 0.367118
2024-12-08 0.049915 0.080256 0.118366 0.167908 0.228904 0.300020 0.387709
2024-12-15 0.045058 0.076061 0.115999 0.168891 0.234959 0.312861 0.409810
2024-12-22 0.040035 0.071193 0.112412 0.168047 0.238557 0.322630 0.428209
2024-12-29 0.037172 0.069081 0.112234 0.171386 0.247228 0.338459 0.453836
2025-01-05 0.033698 0.065779 0.110228 0.172174 0.252578 0.350186 0.474530
2025-01-12 0.030069 0.062047 0.107561 0.172139 0.257057 0.361146 0.494753
2025-01-19 0.026399 0.057895 0.104036 0.170744 0.259646 0.369688 0.512016
2025-01-26 0.023927 0.055404 0.102693 0.172164 0.265792 0.382625 0.534683
2025-02-02 0.022409 0.054336 0.103320 0.176227 0.275376 0.399901 0.562771
2025-02-09 0.019952 0.051416 0.101022 0.176086 0.279328 0.410031 0.582020
2025-02-16 0.018537 0.050183 0.101169 0.179318 0.287737 0.425827 0.608370
2025-02-23 0.016798 0.048172 0.099988 0.180566 0.293429 0.438140 0.630391
2025-03-02 0.014912 0.045659 0.097863 0.180330 0.297033 0.447729 0.648987
2025-03-09 0.013451 0.043805 0.096663 0.181351 0.302292 0.459432 0.670261
2025-03-16 0.011783 0.041303 0.094253 0.180462 0.304841 0.467567 0.686999
2025-03-23 0.011012 0.040617 0.094796 0.183951 0.313445 0.483623 0.713858